Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.036579 0.039830 0.043103 0.046640 0.050349 0.054116 0.058226
2025-11-09 0.030879 0.035638 0.040592 0.046110 0.052063 0.058268 0.065204
2025-11-16 0.026654 0.032465 0.038700 0.045831 0.053709 0.062098 0.071656
2025-11-23 0.024353 0.031088 0.038501 0.047169 0.056930 0.067496 0.079713
2025-11-30 0.022332 0.029789 0.038195 0.048216 0.059693 0.072293 0.087043
2025-12-07 0.020420 0.028424 0.037651 0.048853 0.061878 0.076358 0.093493
2025-12-14 0.018501 0.026879 0.036755 0.048957 0.063348 0.079536 0.098881
2025-12-21 0.017385 0.026210 0.036815 0.050108 0.065973 0.083986 0.105683
2025-12-28 0.015451 0.024372 0.035338 0.049322 0.066239 0.085651 0.109240
2026-01-04 0.014204 0.023320 0.034753 0.049545 0.067642 0.088594 0.114236
2026-01-11 0.013294 0.022644 0.034582 0.050230 0.069563 0.092115 0.119885
2026-01-18 0.012445 0.021986 0.034387 0.050843 0.071366 0.095478 0.125338
2026-01-25 0.010696 0.019989 0.032393 0.049158 0.070351 0.095505 0.126909
2026-02-01 0.009573 0.018798 0.031400 0.048697 0.070809 0.097272 0.130527
2026-02-08 0.008627 0.017795 0.030605 0.048449 0.071500 0.099300 0.134444
2026-02-15 0.008316 0.017730 0.031080 0.049852 0.074267 0.103855 0.141399
2026-02-22 0.007930 0.017517 0.031329 0.050945 0.076635 0.107923 0.147778
2026-03-01 0.007441 0.017104 0.031270 0.051608 0.078442 0.111299 0.153322
2026-03-08 0.006827 0.016440 0.030820 0.051717 0.079520 0.113764 0.157757
2026-03-15 0.006564 0.016340 0.031172 0.052909 0.081994 0.117960 0.164305
2026-03-22 0.005784 0.015294 0.030090 0.052097 0.081834 0.118858 0.166812
2026-03-29 0.005332 0.014784 0.029777 0.052327 0.083022 0.121430 0.171365
2026-04-05 0.005029 0.014517 0.029815 0.053035 0.084830 0.124778 0.176872